Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Dodson
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20 John Moraga
oldest →L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John DodsonMetricJohn Moraga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John DodsonJohn Moraga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Dodson(10 fights)John Moraga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +88.0|Blue -88.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John DodsonTargetJohn Moraga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2John Dodson edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:53
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
