Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hacran Dias has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Lamas
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Hacran DiasL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14W
vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo LamasMetricHacran Dias
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricardo LamasHacran Dias
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Hacran Dias(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +130.3|Blue -130.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -259.0|Blue +259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ricardo LamasTargetHacran Dias
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:03
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:07
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 3Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:20
1Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:16Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
