Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bethe Correia has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Bethe Correia has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronda RouseyL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14W
KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14W
SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15L
KOvs Holly Holm · Nov 15L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16 Bethe CorreiaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Holly Holm · Jun 17L
SUBvs Irene Aldana · May 19W
vs Sijara Eubanks · Sep 19L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronda RouseyMetricBethe Correia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ronda RouseyBethe Correia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Bethe Correia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -182.0|Blue +182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ronda RouseyTargetBethe Correia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ronda Rousey edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
