Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Christian Aguilera is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Carlston Harris has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Carlston Harris threatens submissions; Christian Aguilera has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Aguilera (52.9%).
- Carlston Harris has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Aguilera
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Ivy · Jun 20L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Aug 20 Carlston HarrisL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 23W
SUBvs Jeremiah Wells · Aug 23L
KOvs Khaos Williams · May 24L
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jan 25L
DECvs Jake Matthews · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian AguileraMetricCarlston Harris
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.50Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+0.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian AguileraCarlston Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Aguilera(3 fights)Carlston Harris(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -76.0|Blue +76.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian AguileraTargetCarlston Harris
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Aguilera rounds
Round 1Carlston Harris edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:32
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
