Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Eric Spicely has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Gerald Meerschaert has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SpicelyL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Jul 16W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Sep 16W
SUBvs Alessio Di Chirico · Jan 17L
KOvs Darren Stewart · May 18 Gerald MeerschaertL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25L
DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SpicelyMetricGerald Meerschaert
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eric SpicelyGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Spicely(6 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -82.9|Blue +82.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +161.0|Blue -161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eric SpicelyTargetGerald Meerschaert
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Gerald Meerschaert rounds
Round 1Gerald Meerschaert edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:34
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Gerald Meerschaert edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
