Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Joey Beltran · Oct 13L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
DECvs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15 Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabio MaldonadoMetricGian Villante
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.98Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabio MaldonadoGian Villante
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -55.1|Blue +55.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.2|Blue -3.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +38.0|Blue -38.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabio MaldonadoTargetGian Villante
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gian Villante edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:44Control
Round 2Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes59
Takedowns0
Control0:11
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:49Control
Round 3Fabio Maldonado edged it
Sig. strikes72
Takedowns0
Control0:10
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
