Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Kailin Curran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig threatens submissions; Kailin Curran has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Kailin Curran threatens submissions; Felice Herrig has lost 40% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felice HerrigL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Apr 18L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22 Kailin CurranL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Chambers · May 15W
SUBvs Emily Peters Kagan · Dec 15L
DECvs Alexandra Albu · Jul 17L
DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felice HerrigMetricKailin Curran
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.35evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Felice HerrigKailin Curran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felice Herrig(10 fights)Kailin Curran(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.7|Blue -63.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +236.0|Blue -236.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felice HerrigTargetKailin Curran
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Felice Herrig edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
