Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Dan IgeL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Andre Fili · Feb 24W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25L
vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lerone MurphyMetricDan Ige
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.69Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lerone MurphyDan Ige
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lerone Murphy(10 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.6|Blue -48.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lerone MurphyTargetDan Ige
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Ige edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:22
Knockdowns0
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:30Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:57
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 3Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:58
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
