Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melsik Baghdasaryan (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Josh CulibaoL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · May 21W
vs SeungWoo Choi · Jun 22L
vs Lerone Murphy · Jul 23L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Aug 24 Melsik BaghdasaryanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Collin Anglin · Jul 21L
KOvs Jean Silva · Feb 25L
SUBvs Murtazali Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Josh CulibaoMetricMelsik Baghdasaryan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.37Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+1.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Josh CulibaoMelsik Baghdasaryan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Josh Culibao(6 fights)Melsik Baghdasaryan(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.7|Blue -17.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -217.0|Blue +217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Josh CulibaoTargetMelsik Baghdasaryan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Melsik Baghdasaryan rounds
Round 1Melsik Baghdasaryan edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Melsik Baghdasaryan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:14
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
