Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Keita Nakamura threatens submissions; Anthony Rocco Martin has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Rocco Martin
oldest →L
vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Sep 17W
KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18W
vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19 Keita Nakamura
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Jul 16L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Oct 16W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony Rocco MartinMetricKeita Nakamura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony Rocco MartinKeita Nakamura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Keita Nakamura(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +6.0|Blue -6.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony Rocco MartinTargetKeita Nakamura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Anthony Rocco Martin rounds
Round 1Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 2Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:31
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
