← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Ikram Aliskerov won · Decision R3

Elo1546

Elo1504

Ikram AliskerovvsBrunno FerreiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Ikram Aliskerov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Brunno Ferreira

Style matchupIkram Aliskerov: WrestlervsBrunno Ferreira: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ikram Aliskerov wins(67.6%)

Actual result: Ikram Aliskerov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ikram Aliskerov is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Brunno Ferreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Brunno Ferreira has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ikram Aliskerov has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ikram Aliskerov has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ikram Aliskerov

Red Corner

Brunno Ferreira

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1546

Elo

1504

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ikram AliskerovW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Phil Hawes · May 23

KOvs Warlley Alves · Oct 23

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jun 24

KOvs Andre Muniz · Apr 25

vs JunYong Park · Oct 25

latest

Brunno Ferreira

oldest →

SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 24

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Mar 25

SUBvs Jackson McVey · Jul 25

vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 25

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ikram AliskerovMetricBrunno Ferreira

6.86

Strikes / min

3.77

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

41%

Strike defense

51%

3.20

TDs / 15 min

1.25

100%

Takedown defense

61%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.14

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ikram Aliskerov(6 fights)Brunno Ferreira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +42.4|Blue -42.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +133.0|Blue -133.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ikram AliskerovTargetBrunno Ferreira

By target zone

40% acc · 68%

Head

27% acc · 68%

75% acc · 19%

Body

75% acc · 16%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

43% acc · 77%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

85% acc · 23%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ikram Aliskerov rounds

even

Brunno Ferreira rounds

Round 1Ikram Aliskerov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns2

Control2:44

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ikram Aliskerov edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control2:30

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Ikram Aliskerov edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:39

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 98

Sig Strikes

19 / 55

47.3%

Sig Str %

37.7%

114 / 179

Total Strikes

23 / 61

5 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

88.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:53

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brunno Ferreira	6 / 10	7 / 12	0 / 0	0
1	Ikram Aliskerov	15 / 29	39 / 57	2 / 3	0
2	Brunno Ferreira	10 / 26	11 / 28	0 / 1	0
2	Ikram Aliskerov	20 / 39	24 / 45	2 / 2	0
3	Brunno Ferreira	3 / 19	5 / 21	0 / 0	0
3	Ikram Aliskerov	12 / 30	51 / 77	1 / 1	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 44% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Ikram Aliskerov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Brunno Ferreira

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10