Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Costa is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Oluwale Bamgbose has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Paulo Costa has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Oluwale Bamgbose (52.9%).
- Oluwale Bamgbose has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo CostaW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22L
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24W
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25W
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Apr 26 Oluwale BamgboseL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Aug 15W
KOvs Daniel Sarafian · Feb 16L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Apr 16L
KOvs Alessio Di Chirico · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo CostaMetricOluwale Bamgbose
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paulo CostaOluwale Bamgbose
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Costa(10 fights)Oluwale Bamgbose(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +158.8|Blue -158.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -329.0|Blue +329.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paulo CostaTargetOluwale Bamgbose
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Oluwale Bamgbose edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:02
24Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 2Paulo Costa edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:12
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
