Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20 Daron CruickshankL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14W
vs Anthony Njokuani · Oct 14L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul FelderMetricDaron Cruickshank
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul FelderDaron Cruickshank
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Felder(10 fights)Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +35.6|Blue -35.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul FelderTargetDaron Cruickshank
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Daron Cruickshank rounds
Round 1Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:35
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control2:06
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 3Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:28
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
