Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lorenz Larkin is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Santiago Ponzinibbio has lost 56% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago PonzinibbioL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25L
KOvs Sam Patterson · Jul 26 Lorenz LarkinW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 14W
KOvs John Howard · Jan 15L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 16W
vs Jorge Masvidal · May 16W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricLorenz Larkin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.79
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Santiago PonzinibbioLorenz Larkin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Lorenz Larkin(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.6|Blue +13.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Santiago PonzinibbioTargetLorenz Larkin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds
Round 1Lorenz Larkin edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:56
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lorenz Larkin edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
