Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Dunham (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20 Rodrigo DammL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Antonio Carvalho · Nov 12W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13L
vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14L
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan DunhamMetricRodrigo Damm
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.79Δ 3.90 — meaningful gap-2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Evan DunhamRodrigo Damm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Dunham(10 fights)Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +30.8|Blue -30.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +51.0|Blue -51.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Evan DunhamTargetRodrigo Damm
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns1
Control0:34
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Evan Dunham edged it
Sig. strikes59
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
