Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Batgerel Danaa won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1456

Elo1438

Batgerel DanaavsBrandon DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Saturday, October 16, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Batgerel Danaa won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:01

Style matchupBatgerel Danaa: Pressure fightervsBrandon Davis: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Batgerel Danaa wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Batgerel Danaa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Batgerel Danaa at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Batgerel Danaa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Brandon Davis has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Batgerel Danaa

Red Corner

Brandon Davis

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1456

Elo

1438

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Batgerel DanaaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Mar 22

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 22

KOvs Brady Hiestand · Apr 23

latest

Brandon DavisL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 18

SUBvs Randy Costa · Apr 19

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19

vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19

vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Batgerel DanaaMetricBrandon Davis

5.38

Strikes / min

4.68

4.21

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

47%

Strike defense

58%

0.52

TDs / 15 min

0.74

62%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.17Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Batgerel DanaaBrandon Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Batgerel Danaa(4 fights)Brandon Davis(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.8|Blue -17.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +47.8|Blue -47.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Batgerel DanaaTargetBrandon Davis

By target zone

44% acc · 91%

Head

18% acc · 57%

33% acc · 5%

Body

33% acc · 14%

33% acc · 5%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

47% acc · 91%

Distance

26% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

33% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Batgerel Danaa rounds

even

Brandon Davis rounds

Round 1Batgerel Danaa edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 51

Sig Strikes

7 / 27

43%

Sig Str %

25%

22 / 51

Total Strikes

7 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brandon Davis	7 / 27	7 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Batgerel Danaa	22 / 51	22 / 51	0 / 0	0

Batgerel Danaa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Brandon Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9