Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Robert Whittaker
oldest →L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26 Khamzat Chimaev
oldest →W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Oct 23W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25L
DECvs Sean Strickland · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Robert WhittakerMetricKhamzat Chimaev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Robert WhittakerKhamzat Chimaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Khamzat Chimaev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.9|Blue +5.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -245.0|Blue +245.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Robert WhittakerTargetKhamzat Chimaev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Khamzat Chimaev edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
