Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Deron Winn enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Deron WinnL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22 Antonio ArroyoL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Sep 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Deron WinnMetricAntonio Arroyo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.66Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Deron WinnAntonio Arroyo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Deron Winn(5 fights)Antonio Arroyo(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +87.0|Blue -87.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Deron WinnTargetAntonio Arroyo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns4
Control2:21
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Deron Winn edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns4
Control3:41
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Deron Winn edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns4
Control3:27
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
