Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Matt Mitrione is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Matt Mitrione has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Travis Browne has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matt Mitrione (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Travis BrowneL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Andrei Arlovski · May 15L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Matt Mitrione
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Schaub · Sep 13W
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Mar 14W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Sep 14W
KOvs Gabriel Gonzaga · Dec 14L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · Jun 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Travis BrowneMetricMatt Mitrione
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.38Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Travis BrowneMatt Mitrione
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Travis Browne(10 fights)Matt Mitrione(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.9|Blue -4.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Travis BrowneTargetMatt Mitrione
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Mitrione edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Travis Browne edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:56
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Travis Browne edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control1:51
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
