Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Igor Pokrajac enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stephan Bonnar has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stephan Bonnar has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Stephan Bonnar
oldest →W
KOvs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jul 10W
vs Kyle Kingsbury · Nov 11L
KOvs Anderson Silva · Oct 12 Igor PokrajacL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12L
KOvs Rafael Feijao · Nov 13L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Stephan BonnarMetricIgor Pokrajac
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.25Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Stephan BonnarIgor Pokrajac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Stephan Bonnar(4 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +133.5|Blue -133.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Stephan BonnarTargetIgor Pokrajac
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control3:33
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 2Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control3:45
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 3Stephan Bonnar edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control4:39
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
