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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Mark Munoz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1371

Mark MunozvsTim BoetschUFC Prediction Result

UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · Saturday, July 6, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mark Munoz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMark Munoz: WrestlervsTim Boetsch: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Tim Boetsch wins(69.1%)

Actual result: Mark Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tim Boetsch at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Mark Munoz

Red Corner

Tim Boetsch

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1490

Elo

1371

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark Munoz

oldest →

KOvs Chris Weidman · Jul 12

KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13

SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14

SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15

vs Luke Barnatt · May 15

latest

Tim BoetschL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Natal · Nov 16

SUBvs Jacare Souza · Feb 17

KOvs Johny Hendricks · Jun 17

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Apr 18

vs Omari Akhmedov · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark MunozMetricTim Boetsch

3.12

Strikes / min

2.93

2.26

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

57%

Strike defense

57%

3.17

TDs / 15 min

1.45

57%

Takedown defense

59%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark MunozTim Boetsch

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Munoz(10 fights)Tim Boetsch(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +119.1|Blue -119.1

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +171.0|Blue -171.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark MunozTargetTim Boetsch

By target zone

56% acc · 52%

Head

45% acc · 39%

89% acc · 45%

Body

56% acc · 39%

67% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

33% acc · 7%

Distance

50% acc · 48%

52% acc · 17%

Clinch

63% acc · 43%

81% acc · 75%

Ground

67% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Munoz rounds

even

Tim Boetsch rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control2:15

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 2Mark Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns2

Control3:25

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 3Mark Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control3:46

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 102

Sig Strikes

23 / 41

65.7%

Sig Str %

44.3%

132 / 171

Total Strikes

50 / 69

5 / 10

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

9:26

Ctrl Time

2:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Tim Boetsch	17 / 23	32 / 39	1 / 2	1
1	Mark Munoz	13 / 24	25 / 36	2 / 4	0
2	Tim Boetsch	5 / 14	17 / 26	0 / 1	0
2	Mark Munoz	28 / 38	55 / 67	2 / 4	0
3	Tim Boetsch	1 / 4	1 / 4	0 / 0	2
3	Mark Munoz	28 / 40	52 / 68	1 / 2	2

Mark Munoz

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Tim Boetsch

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights20