Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 24W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25 Cory Sandhagen
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricCory Sandhagen
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Merab DvalishviliCory Sandhagen
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.0|Blue -58.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Merab DvalishviliTargetCory Sandhagen
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
4
Merab Dvalishvili rounds
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control0:52
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns8
Control3:43
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control1:57
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns2
Control1:26
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns6
Control2:04
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
