Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Volkan Oezdemir has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Volkan Oezdemir
oldest →W
SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25 Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Volkan OezdemirMetricNikita Krylov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80evenly matched on net striking+1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Volkan OezdemirNikita Krylov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +30.0|Blue -30.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Volkan OezdemirTargetNikita Krylov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:46
26Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:02Control
Round 2Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:01
11Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:28Control
Round 3Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
