Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francimar Barroso has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francimar BarrosoL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16W
vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17L
vs Gian Villante · Jan 18 Elvis Mutapcic
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francimar BarrosoMetricElvis Mutapcic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francimar BarrosoElvis Mutapcic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francimar Barroso(8 fights)Elvis Mutapcic(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.9|Blue -4.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francimar BarrosoTargetElvis Mutapcic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Francimar Barroso rounds
Round 1Francimar Barroso edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:49
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Francimar Barroso edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Francimar Barroso edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:24
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
