Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Holly Holm has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Holly Holm has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ronda Rousey
oldest →W
KOvs Sara McMann · Feb 14W
KOvs Alexis Davis · Jul 14W
SUBvs Cat Zingano · Feb 15W
KOvs Bethe Correia · Aug 15L
KOvs Amanda Nunes · Dec 16 Holly Holm
oldest →W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ronda RouseyMetricHolly Holm
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ronda RouseyHolly Holm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ronda Rousey(8 fights)Holly Holm(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.6|Blue +138.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -17.0|Blue +17.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ronda RouseyTargetHolly Holm
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:04
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:12Control
Round 2Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
