Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Dillashaw is a KO finisher (54% of wins). Dominick Cruz has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ Dillashaw
oldest →W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Jan 19W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21L
KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22 Dominick Cruz
oldest →L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ DillashawMetricDominick Cruz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62evenly matched on net striking+1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
TJ DillashawDominick Cruz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)Dominick Cruz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -301.0|Blue +301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
TJ DillashawTargetDominick Cruz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:12
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:03
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control0:56
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 5TJ Dillashaw edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
