Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Reza Madadi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reza Madadi has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yan Cabral
oldest →W
vs David Mitchell · Oct 13L
vs Zak Cummings · May 14W
SUBvs Naoyuki Kotani · Oct 14 Reza MadadiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cristiano Marcello · Oct 12W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13L
vs Norman Parke · Oct 15L
vs Joaquim Silva · May 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yan CabralMetricReza Madadi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yan CabralReza Madadi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yan Cabral(5 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.6|Blue +3.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yan CabralTargetReza Madadi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yan Cabral edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:48
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:29Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:27
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
Round 3Reza Madadi edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:54
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
