Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Iuri Alcantara (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Iuri Alcantara
oldest →W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Mar 17L
SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jun 17L
vs Alejandro Perez · Dec 17L
KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 18 Russell Doane
oldest →L
vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16L
SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16W
KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Iuri AlcantaraMetricRussell Doane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.07evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Iuri AlcantaraRussell Doane
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Iuri Alcantara(10 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Iuri AlcantaraTargetRussell Doane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Iuri Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control1:24
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:20Control
Round 2Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:51Control
Round 3Russell Doane edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:45
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:25Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
