Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shane Carwin is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Shane Carwin has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15 Shane CarwinL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brock Lesnar · Jul 10L
vs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frank MirMetricShane Carwin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.66Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frank MirShane Carwin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frank Mir(10 fights)Shane Carwin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.5|Blue -5.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frank MirTargetShane Carwin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Shane Carwin edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns0
49Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:33Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
