Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ben Rothwell
oldest →L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jul 19W
KOvs Stefan Struve · Dec 19W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · May 20W
SUBvs Chris Barnett · May 21L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 21 Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ben RothwellMetricMarcin Tybura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ben RothwellMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ben Rothwell(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +59.0|Blue -59.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ben RothwellTargetMarcin Tybura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ben Rothwell edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:19
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Marcin Tybura edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
