Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Brad Tavares has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 23L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25L
DECvs Jacob Malkoun · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricGerald Meerschaert
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.1|Blue -24.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad TavaresTargetGerald Meerschaert
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Gerald Meerschaert rounds
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:01
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 3Gerald Meerschaert edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:31Control
