Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marvin Vettori (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor MirandaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jake Collier · Dec 14W
KOvs Clint Hester · Aug 15W
KOvs Marcelo Guimaraes · Mar 16L
vs Chris Camozzi · May 16 Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor MirandaMetricMarvin Vettori
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.03evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vitor MirandaMarvin Vettori
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Miranda(7 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -100.8|Blue +100.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +215.0|Blue -215.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vitor MirandaTargetMarvin Vettori
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:13
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 3Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
