Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andre Ewell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andre Ewell (53.5%).
- Andre Ewell has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renan BaraoL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Phillipe Nover · Sep 16L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19 Andre EwellL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 20W
vs Irwin Rivera · Sep 20L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Feb 21L
KOvs Julio Arce · Jul 21L
vs Charles Jourdain · Dec 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renan BaraoMetricAndre Ewell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Renan BaraoAndre Ewell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renan Barao(10 fights)Andre Ewell(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -36.0|Blue +36.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -46.8|Blue +46.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Renan BaraoTargetAndre Ewell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Renan Barao edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control3:51
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:05
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Andre Ewell edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
