Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph BenavidezL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Perez · Nov 18W
vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19W
KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20 Askar Askarov
oldest →W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 20L
vs Kai Kara-France · Mar 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph BenavidezMetricAskar Askarov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph BenavidezAskar Askarov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Askar Askarov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph BenavidezTargetAskar Askarov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Askar Askarov edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 2Askar Askarov edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
4:06Control
Round 3Askar Askarov edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
