Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elijah SmithW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Vince Morales · Feb 25W
SUBvs SuYoung You · Mar 26 Toshiomi Kazama
oldest →L
KOvs Rinya Nakamura · Feb 23L
KOvs Garrett Armfield · Aug 23W
SUBvs Charalampos Grigoriou · Aug 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elijah SmithMetricToshiomi Kazama
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.22Δ 4.29 — meaningful gap-3.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Elijah SmithToshiomi Kazama
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elijah Smith(3 fights)Toshiomi Kazama(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +62.8|Blue -62.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -189.0|Blue +189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Elijah SmithTargetToshiomi Kazama
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Elijah Smith edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control3:49
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
