Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marcin Tybura has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26 Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 18L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin TyburaMetricShamil Abdurakhimov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin TyburaShamil Abdurakhimov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.7|Blue -48.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +55.0|Blue -55.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin TyburaTargetShamil Abdurakhimov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds
Round 1Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
