Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25 Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21L
KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21W
SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22L
KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricMakwan Amirkhani
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaMakwan Amirkhani
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.3|Blue -26.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetMakwan Amirkhani
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:03
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:35
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Makwan Amirkhani edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
