Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian Ebersole
oldest →W
vs Claude Patrick · Dec 11W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12L
KOvs Omari Akhmedov · Jun 15 James HeadL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Nick Ring · Jun 11W
SUBvs Papy Abedi · Apr 12L
SUBvs Jason High · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian EbersoleMetricJames Head
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brian EbersoleJames Head
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ebersole(8 fights)James Head(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.0|Blue -138.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -69.0|Blue +69.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brian EbersoleTargetJames Head
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brian Ebersole edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:14
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:01Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:14
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 3James Head edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:26
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:32Control
