Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26 Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jul 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jailton AlmeidaMetricDerrick Lewis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.93Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jailton AlmeidaDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.7|Blue -26.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jailton AlmeidaTargetDerrick Lewis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control4:36
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control4:19
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control3:57
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 4Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control4:23
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns2
Control3:55
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
