Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dustin Ortiz is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jussier Formiga has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Jussier Formiga has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20 Dustin Ortiz
oldest →L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jussier FormigaMetricDustin Ortiz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+0.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jussier FormigaDustin Ortiz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jussier Formiga(10 fights)Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -106.6|Blue +106.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jussier FormigaTargetDustin Ortiz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control2:02
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:38Control
Round 2Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control4:11
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control2:54
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
