Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claudia Gadelha has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cortney Casey has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudia Gadelha
oldest →L
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 17W
vs Carla Esparza · Jun 18L
vs Nina Ansaroff · Dec 18 Cortney Casey
oldest →W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudia GadelhaMetricCortney Casey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.26Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudia GadelhaCortney Casey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudia Gadelha(10 fights)Cortney Casey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +43.0|Blue -43.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudia GadelhaTargetCortney Casey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:23
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control1:59
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Claudia Gadelha edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns3
Control2:03
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
