Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Richardson Moreira has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Richardson Moreira has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Ildemar Alcantara has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Richardson Moreira
oldest →L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · May 14 Ildemar AlcantaraL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 13W
vs Albert Tumenov · Feb 14L
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Richardson MoreiraMetricIldemar Alcantara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.66evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Richardson MoreiraIldemar Alcantara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Richardson Moreira(2 fights)Ildemar Alcantara(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.2|Blue +136.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Richardson MoreiraTargetIldemar Alcantara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Richardson Moreira rounds
2
Ildemar Alcantara rounds
Round 1Richardson Moreira edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:55
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 2Ildemar Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3Ildemar Alcantara edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:43
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
