Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ian Machado GarryW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Michael Page · Jun 24L
vs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Dec 24W
vs Carlos Prates · Apr 25W
vs Belal Muhammad · Nov 25 Song Kenan
oldest →L
KOvs Max Griffin · Mar 21W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Aug 23L
vs Kevin Jousset · Dec 23L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ian Machado GarryMetricSong Kenan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.92Δ 3.25 — meaningful gap-1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ian Machado GarrySong Kenan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ian Machado Garry(8 fights)Song Kenan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +44.0|Blue -44.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.2|Blue -49.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ian Machado GarryTargetSong Kenan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Ian Machado Garry rounds
Round 1Song Kenan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
22Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:44Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Ian Machado Garry edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ian Machado Garry edged it
Sig. strikes70
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
