Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Todd Duffee is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Philip De Fries has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Todd Duffee has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Philip De Fries
oldest →W
vs Rob Broughton · Nov 11L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Feb 12W
SUBvs Oli Thompson · Aug 12L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Apr 13 Todd Duffee
oldest →L
KOvs Mike Russow · May 10W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Dec 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Philip De FriesMetricTodd Duffee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70Δ 3.76 — meaningful gap+3.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Philip De FriesTodd Duffee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Philip De Fries(5 fights)Todd Duffee(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.3|Blue +138.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -798.0|Blue +798.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Philip De FriesTargetTodd Duffee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Todd Duffee edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:55
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
