Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Hall has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Darren Elkins has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25 Ryan Hall
oldest →W
vs Gray Maynard · Dec 16L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jul 21W
vs Darrick Minner · Dec 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricRyan Hall
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren ElkinsRyan Hall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Ryan Hall(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.0|Blue -5.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren ElkinsTargetRyan Hall
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ryan Hall edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:54
Knockdowns0
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Ryan Hall edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:30
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Ryan Hall edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:25
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
