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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Francimar Barroso won · U-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1355

Francimar BarrosovsRyan JimmoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · Saturday, May 30, 2015Goiania, Goias, Brazil

Official fight result

Francimar Barroso won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupFrancimar Barroso: WrestlervsRyan Jimmo: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Francimar Barroso wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Francimar Barroso wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Francimar Barroso at +235 American odds

+$235 profit

$335 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Francimar Barroso has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Francimar Barroso

Red Corner

Ryan Jimmo

Blue Corner

+235

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-275

(73%)

1364

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Francimar BarrosoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Elvis Mutapcic · Jan 16

SUBvs Nikita Krylov · May 16

vs Darren Stewart · Mar 17

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Sep 17

vs Gian Villante · Jan 18

latest

Ryan Jimmo

oldest →

vs James Te Huna · Feb 13

vs Igor Pokrajac · Jun 13

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Oct 13

KOvs Sean O'Connell · Apr 14

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Francimar BarrosoMetricRyan Jimmo

2.77

Strikes / min

3.12

3.07

Strikes absorbed / min

2.77

59%

Strike defense

46%

2.22

TDs / 15 min

0.45

83%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Francimar BarrosoRyan Jimmo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Francimar Barroso(8 fights)Ryan Jimmo(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.8|Blue -8.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +83.0|Blue -83.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Francimar BarrosoTargetRyan Jimmo

By target zone

19% acc · 22%

Head

38% acc · 40%

75% acc · 13%

Body

83% acc · 29%

86% acc · 65%

Leg

92% acc · 31%

By position

22% acc · 26%

Distance

50% acc · 69%

83% acc · 74%

Clinch

85% acc · 31%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Francimar Barroso rounds

even

Ryan Jimmo rounds

Round 1Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control2:57

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:42

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Francimar Barroso edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:57

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 96

Sig Strikes

35 / 61

47%

Sig Str %

58.7%

67 / 117

Total Strikes

46 / 74

0 / 14

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:36

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ryan Jimmo	13 / 19	23 / 30	0 / 0
1	Francimar Barroso	10 / 21	16 / 27	0 / 6
2	Ryan Jimmo	12 / 26	12 / 26	0 / 0
2	Francimar Barroso	22 / 43	26 / 47	0 / 4
3	Ryan Jimmo	10 / 16	11 / 18	0 / 0
3	Francimar Barroso	14 / 32	25 / 43	0 / 4

Francimar Barroso

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Ryan Jimmo

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7