Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Rosholt has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jared Rosholt has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Rosholt
oldest →W
KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15W
DECvs Tim Johnson · Aug 15W
vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15 Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared RosholtMetricAleksei Oleinik
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.56Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jared RosholtAleksei Oleinik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Rosholt(8 fights)Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.8|Blue +4.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared RosholtTargetAleksei Oleinik
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control1:13
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
