Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Navajo Stirling enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Navajo Stirling has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Navajo Stirling has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ion Cutelaba
oldest →L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25 Navajo StirlingW4 streak
oldest →W
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ion CutelabaMetricNavajo Stirling
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap+3.58
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Navajo Stirling(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -102.4|Blue +102.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ion CutelabaTargetNavajo Stirling
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Navajo Stirling edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control1:53
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:10Control
Round 2Navajo Stirling edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns3
Control1:08
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
