Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory SandhagenL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25L
DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26 Mario BautistaW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26W
DECvs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricMario Bautista
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cory SandhagenMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -69.7|Blue +69.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.4|Blue +47.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cory SandhagenTargetMario Bautista
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:38
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
