Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jacare Souza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yushin Okami has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yushin Okami (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yushin Okami
oldest →W
vs Alan Belcher · Dec 12W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 13L
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Sep 17L
vs Aleksei Kunchenko · Dec 18 Jacare SouzaL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 18L
vs Jack Hermansson · Apr 19L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Nov 19L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Dec 20L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · May 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yushin OkamiMetricJacare Souza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19evenly matched on net striking-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yushin OkamiJacare Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yushin Okami(10 fights)Jacare Souza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yushin OkamiTargetJacare Souza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jacare Souza edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
